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16:45 Aintree 09 Apr 2016

Gaskells Waste Management Handicap Hurdle

Grade 3 | Class 1 | 4YO plus

Winner £28,135 - 19 ran

3m 149y

Soft (Good to Soft in places)

Draw Advantage: None

Expert Analysis

Reporter:

Last year’s race

Taglietelle
  • Winner: Taglietelle
  • Jockey: P Carberry
  • Trainer: G Elliott
  • Owner: Olduvai Syndicate
  • Age: 6 Weight: 11st 6lb
  • Starting Price: 7/1
  • Season Form Figures: 80111144
  • Previous Best: 4th - Coral Cup, Cheltenham, March 2015

Six of the last ten runnings have gone the way of a novice so, in common with the 2m4f handicap at this fixture, this race has proved a happy hunting ground for first-season hurdlers.

The four successful novices who won between 2006 - 2009 were all were stepping up in trip.

The best novice guide has been the EBF Final at Sandown, a novice handicap that always contains a clutch of highly promising looking chasers in the making and provided the winner three years running from 2007-2009 and the winner two years ago, Doctor Harper.

Fifteen of the 28 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival and this is effectively the Aintree equivalent race of the Pertemps Network Final (minus the endless qualifying races) so it is no surprise to see that handicap at Cheltenham have a bearing with six winners here having run in that Final since 1988.

It is worth noting that although the Pertemps Final is the more valuable of the two races, that contest only has Listed status whereas this race was raised to Grade 3 level in 2010 so it should theoretically be the stronger of the two handicaps.

Six of the last eight winners of that Final also lined up here with Cape Tribulation completing the double in 2012 and Call The Cops was only beaten a head here by the Coral Cup fourth, Taglietelle, when trying to emulate him last season. Freetown also placed here after winning the Pertemps in 2002.

Only five of the 28 winners had been successful last time out but that includes four of the last 11. Prior to Battle Group’s win three years ago, the previous nine winners all arrived here with a win earlier in the season behind them as had 19 in all.

Six of the last ten runnings have gone the way of a novice so, in common with the 2m4f handicap at this fixture, this race has proved a happy hunting ground for first-season hurdlers.

Only one of the last 18 winners had not run at least four times earlier in the season. As many as ten winners had run over fences earlier in the season, three of which on their last start.

That’s a pretty good strike rate in 27 years, especially given how well novice hurdlers have performed as, generally speaking, very few of those will have been chasing at some point in their career.

Just two five-year-olds have won in 27 runnings. The only five-year-olds to win this handicap were Escartefigue (who was better at Aintree than anywhere else) and Time For Rupert and both went on to make top-notch chasers.

Jonjo O'Neill is best known for his stayers and he has won this race four times in the last 14 years, twice with novices, so it is surprising that he has ran just two horses in the last five years which included last season’s close-up 25/1 third, Master Malt.

The Irish took this prize for the third time last year and the first time in 13 years since Ross Moff was successful. Mouse Morris saddled the first Irish winner, What A Question, and has had three others placed, but hasn't had a runner in any of the last ten years.

Three successive favourites obliged before Time For Rupert won at 50/1, the race's biggest-priced winner, and it was the gambled-on Battle Group that gave favourites another victory three years ago, albeit the co-favourite of three at 8/1 leading home another co-favourite in second.

Three favourites went in during the 1990s and six in total have finished second so it has been relatively punter friendly given how competitive it is. The second-favoutite beat the favourite into second place last year.

At a glance summary

Positives
Novices
Last-time-out winners
Contested the Pertemps Network Final
Contested the EBF Novices' Hurdle Final
Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
Had been chasing earlier in the season
Negatives
Five-year-olds
Failed to win earlier in the season
Less than four starts this season

Expert Analysis

Reporter:

Expert Analysis

Reporter:

Previous Winners

Year Winner Trainer Jockey Age/Wt OR SP
2015 Taglietelle G Elliott P Carberry 6/11:6 145 7/1
2014 Doctor Harper D Pipe T Scudamore 6/11:3 138 8/1
2013 Battle Group K Bishop Brendan Powell (3) 8/10:9 131 8/1jf
2012 Cape Tribulation Malcolm Jefferson Dennis O'Regan 8/11:12 150 14-1
2011 Battle Group David Pipe Barry Geraghty 6/11:01 131
2010 Ringaroses Jonjo O'Neill Tony McCoy 9/11:00 130 10-1
2009 Time For Rupert Paul Webber William Kenedy 5/10:10 134 50-1
2008 Forest Pennant Paul Nicholls Ruby Walsh 6/10:13 130 9-2f
2007 Albertas Run Jonjo O'Neill Tony McCoy 6/10:04 128 9-2f
2006 Refinement Jonjo O'Neill Tony McCoy 7/10:12 131 11-4f
2005 Holland Park Mrs S D Williams Joe Tizzard 8/11:00 130 10-1
2004 His Nibs Veniatta Williams Joe Tizzard 7/10:10 130 14-1
2003 Carlovent Martin Pipe Tony McCoy 8/10:11 130 16-1
2002 Sudden Shock Jonjo O'Neill J R Kavangh 7/10:01 126 33-1

Future Form

Type Stats Type Stats
Summary 87 runs, 9 wins (6 horses), 15 placed, 63 unplaced Next time out 18 runs, 1 win, 3 placed, 14 unplaced
Class analysis 11 runs up in class, 1 win, 0 placed, 10 unplaced Ratings check Highest winning OR: 158; Highest placed OR: 158